Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Carlisle United |
32.05% (![]() | 26.09% (![]() | 41.85% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.05% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.7% (![]() | 51.3% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.87% (![]() | 73.12% (![]() |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.05% (![]() | 29.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.94% (![]() | 66.06% (![]() |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.73% (![]() | 24.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.37% (![]() | 58.63% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 8.76% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.48% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.28% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.36% Total : 32.05% | 1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 7.27% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.3% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 10.29% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.79% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.29% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.15% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.44% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.47% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 2.72% Total : 41.85% |
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