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League Two | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rayners Lane
CU

Bromley
1 - 1
Carlisle

Cheek (54' pen.)
Thompson (57')
Leigh (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Adu-Adjei (90+2')
Guy (37'), Mellish (43'), Burey (51'), Charters (67'), Lavelle (83'), Sadi (90'), Barclay (90+7')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 1-0 Bromley
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Morecambe 1-2 Carlisle
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Bromley 1-1 Carlisle United

Though both sides have struggled for results of late, Bromley have at least been difficult to beat at home. However, Carlisle have won their last two fixtures and should come into Saturday's game with some confidence, so it would not be surprising if they left Hayes Lane with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bromley win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bromley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BromleyDrawCarlisle United
38.09% (0.54 0.54) 25.62% (0.071000000000002 0.07) 36.29% (-0.609 -0.61)
Both teams to score 55.54% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.5% (-0.34 -0.34)48.5% (0.343 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.37% (-0.311 -0.31)70.62% (0.31399999999999 0.31)
Bromley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (0.13799999999999 0.14)24.97% (-0.135 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.38% (0.191 0.19)59.61% (-0.189 -0.19)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.02% (-0.502 -0.5)25.97% (0.504 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39% (-0.683 -0.68)60.99% (0.686 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Bromley 38.09%
    Carlisle United 36.29%
    Draw 25.62%
BromleyDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9% (0.161 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.064 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.24% (0.136 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.89% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.89% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 38.09%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.49% (0.091 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 8.18% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.89% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.67% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 36.29%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Charlton 1-0 Bromley
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Bromley
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 3-4 Bromley
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bromley 1-1 Barrow
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 0-1 Bromley
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Bromley 1-2 Tranmere
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-2 Carlisle
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Salford City 0-1 Carlisle
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-2 Wigan
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 3-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Harrogate
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League Two


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