SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Bromley had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.48%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Bromley win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bromley | Draw | Notts County |
35.57% ( 0.06) | 24.03% ( 0.01) | 40.4% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 61.16% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.81% ( -0.04) | 41.18% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.42% ( -0.04) | 63.58% ( 0.04) |
| Bromley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.01% ( 0.02) | 22.99% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.21% ( 0.02) | 56.78% ( -0.03) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.42% ( -0.05) | 20.58% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.88% ( -0.08) | 53.11% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bromley | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 35.57% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 40.4% |
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