SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Notts County |
41.29% ( -0.26) | 23.6% ( -0.01) | 35.12% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 62.68% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.83% ( 0.11) | 39.17% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.5% ( 0.12) | 61.5% ( -0.11) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.67% ( -0.06) | 19.33% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.91% ( -0.11) | 51.09% ( 0.12) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.69% ( 0.2) | 22.31% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.23% ( 0.29) | 55.77% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.59% 3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.32% Total : 41.29% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.49% Total : 35.12% |
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