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League Two | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
County Ground
NC

Swindon
1 - 2
Notts County

Kilkenny (21')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McGoldrick (30', 80')
McGoldrick (69')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 0-0 Swindon
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawNotts County
41.29% (-0.256 -0.26) 23.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 35.12% (0.271 0.27)
Both teams to score 62.68% (0.106 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.83% (0.11199999999999 0.11)39.17% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.5% (0.117 0.12)61.5% (-0.111 -0.11)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.67% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)19.33% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.91% (-0.111 -0.11)51.09% (0.116 0.12)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69% (0.19699999999999 0.2)22.31% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.23% (0.291 0.29)55.77% (-0.285 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 41.29%
    Notts County 35.12%
    Draw 23.6%
Swindon TownDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.09% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.82% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.59%
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 41.29%
1-1 @ 10.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.55% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.8% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.6%
1-2 @ 7.98% (0.034 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.85% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.99% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 35.12%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Crewe 0-0 Swindon
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-4 Walsall
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 4-2 Swindon
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Chesterfield 1-1 Swindon
Friday, August 9 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-0 Wycombe
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Eastleigh 1-0 Swindon
Sunday, July 28 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Notts County 4-1 Grimsby Town
Thursday, August 22 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 2-2 Fleetwood
Sunday, August 18 at 1pm in League Two
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-3 Notts County (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Tranmere 0-0 Notts County
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Peterborough 1-0 Notts County
Saturday, August 3 at 3.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Peterborough 4-3 Notts County
Saturday, August 3 at 1.30pm in Club Friendlies 3


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