Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Bromley had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.48%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Bromley win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.08) 
