SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Bromley had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Bromley win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bromley | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
34.92% ( 0.09) | 26.19% ( 0.02) | 38.88% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.44% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.88% ( -0.09) | 51.12% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.03% ( -0.08) | 72.97% ( 0.08) |
| Bromley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.97% ( 0.01) | 28.03% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.32% ( 0.01) | 63.68% ( -0.01) |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.26% ( -0.1) | 25.75% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.32% ( -0.13) | 60.68% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bromley | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.92% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 38.88% |
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