SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambridge United | Draw | Reading |
36.85% ( 0.05) | 25.67% ( 0.01) | 37.48% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.38% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.28% ( -0.04) | 48.72% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.17% ( -0.04) | 70.82% ( 0.04) |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.24% ( 0.01) | 25.76% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.3% ( 0.01) | 60.7% ( -0.01) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.59% ( -0.05) | 25.41% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.78% ( -0.07) | 60.22% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambridge United | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.85% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 8.97% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 37.48% |
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