Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Reading had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lincoln City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lincoln City.
Result | ||
Lincoln City | Draw | Reading |
48.77% ( 1.17) | 24.09% ( 0.15) | 27.14% ( -1.32) |
Both teams to score 56.72% ( -1.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.82% ( -1.56) | 45.18% ( 1.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.47% ( -1.51) | 67.53% ( 1.51) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.38% ( -0.14) | 18.62% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.08% ( -0.23) | 49.92% ( 0.24) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.7% ( -1.76) | 30.31% ( 1.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.52% ( -2.16) | 66.49% ( 2.16) |
Score Analysis |
Lincoln City | Draw | Reading |
2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.58) 2-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.36% Total : 48.77% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.37) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.24) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.07% Total : 27.14% |
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