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League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 21, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
LNER Stadium
RL

Lincoln
2 - 0
Reading

Cadamarteri (8'), Hackett (72')
House (55'), O'Connor (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dean (55')
Holzman (37')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 2-2 Lincoln
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 0-3 Blackpool
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 2-0 Reading

Although Lincoln are very much out of form, we cannot ignore that Reading are still getting to grips with life under Hunt. With that in mind, we are backing the home side to edge this contest in the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Reading had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lincoln City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lincoln City.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawReading
48.77% (1.174 1.17) 24.09% (0.146 0.15) 27.14% (-1.316 -1.32)
Both teams to score 56.72% (-1.534 -1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.82% (-1.555 -1.56)45.18% (1.56 1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.47% (-1.507 -1.51)67.53% (1.512 1.51)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.38% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)18.62% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.08% (-0.234 -0.23)49.92% (0.239 0.24)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.7% (-1.761 -1.76)30.31% (1.767 1.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.52% (-2.156 -2.16)66.49% (2.161 2.16)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 48.77%
    Reading 27.14%
    Draw 24.08%
Lincoln CityDrawReading
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.09 0.09)
1-0 @ 9.49% (0.58 0.58)
2-0 @ 7.97% (0.454 0.45)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.47% (0.236 0.24)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.88% (0.091 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 48.77%
1-1 @ 11.32% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.229 -0.23)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.369 0.37)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.08%
1-2 @ 6.76% (-0.241 -0.24)
0-1 @ 6.74% (0.124 0.12)
0-2 @ 4.02% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.236 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.209 -0.21)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.133 -0.13)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 27.14%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Huddersfield 2-2 Lincoln
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Charlton
Saturday, December 7 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, December 3 at 8.15pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 3-4 Lincoln
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 0-3 Blackpool
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Reading (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Wycombe 1-1 Reading
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 3-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, December 3 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 5-3 Harborough Town
Sunday, December 1 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Barnsley 2-2 Reading
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One


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