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League One | Gameweek 19
Dec 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
ST

Cambridge
4 - 1
Shrewsbury

Lavery (1', 29'), N'Lundulu (46'), Kachunga (53')
Philippe Reyes Nunez (70'), Loft (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Marquis (69' pen.)
Shipley (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-2 Blackpool
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 1-2 Shrewsbury Town

In this relegation clash, both sides will be desperate to take points from each other to avoid being cut adrift at the foot of the League One table. However, Shrewsbury seem to be benefitting from the 'new manager bounce' and the influence of boss Ainsworth may lead to a victory against Monk's team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawShrewsbury Town
36.53% (-0.129 -0.13) 27.71% (0.0019999999999989 0) 35.76% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 48.68% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.85% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)57.16% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.98% (-0.0059999999999967 -0.01)78.02% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)29.99% (0.084999999999997 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89% (-0.102 -0.1)66.11% (0.102 0.1)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.54% (0.073999999999998 0.07)30.47% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.33% (0.088999999999999 0.09)66.67% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 36.52%
    Shrewsbury Town 35.76%
    Draw 27.7%
Cambridge UnitedDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 11% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.63% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.16% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.66% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 36.52%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 9.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.7%
0-1 @ 10.85% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.77% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.45% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.56% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 35.76%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Reading 3-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, December 3 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Wigan
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Bolton
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 0-0 Cambridge
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Barnsley
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 6-1 Cambridge
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-2 Blackpool
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-2 Birmingham
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Walsall 3-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Salford City 2-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Barnsley
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One


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