Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
0.11) 
-0.12) 
