Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrarese win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carrarese in this match.

Result
Carrarese	Draw	Palermo
39.12% ( -0.15)	29.05% ( -0)	31.82% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 44.26% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.64% (

0.04)

62.35% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18% (

0.03)

82% (

-0.03)

Carrarese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.99% (

-0.07)

31.01% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.68% (

-0.08)

67.31% (

0.08)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.15% (

0.14)

35.84% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.38% (

0.14)

72.62% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Carrarese 39.12%

Palermo 31.82%

Draw 29.05%

Carrarese	Draw	Palermo
1-0 @ 13.01% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.08% Total : 39.12%	1-1 @ 13.35% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.05%	0-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 31.82%