Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mantova win with a probability of 44%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mantova win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Mantova	Draw	Palermo
44% ( -0.28)	26.3% ( 0.1)	29.7% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 51.35% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.99% (

-0.31)

53.01% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.4% (

-0.27)

74.6% (

0.27)

Mantova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.04% (

-0.27)

23.96% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.81% (

-0.39)

58.19% (

0.39)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.53% (

-0.03)

32.47% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.01% (

-0.04)

68.99% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Mantova 43.99%

Palermo 29.7%

Draw 26.3%

Mantova	Draw	Palermo
1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.71% Total : 43.99%	1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.3%	0-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 29.7%