Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 45.95%. A win for Bari had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Catanzaro would win this match.

Result
Catanzaro	Draw	Bari
45.95% ( -1.78)	26.03% ( 0.92)	28.02% ( 0.86)

Both teams to score 51.15% (

-2.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.21% (

-3.2)

52.79% (

3.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.59% (

-2.8)

74.41% (

2.8)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.07% (

-2.14)

22.93% (

2.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.3% (

-3.24)

56.7% (

3.24)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.37% (

-1.02)

33.62% (

1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.73% (

-1.12)

70.27% (

1.12)

Score Analysis

Catanzaro 45.94%

Bari 28.02%

Draw 26.03%

Catanzaro	Draw	Bari
1-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.7) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.43) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.31) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.28) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.95% Total : 45.94%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.44) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.93) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.28) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.03%	0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.8) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.37% Total : 28.02%