Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Bari had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palermo would win this match.

Result
Palermo	Draw	Bari
44.92% ( -0.03)	26.07% ( 0.01)	29.02% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 51.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.6% (

-0.01)

52.41% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.92% (

-0.01)

74.09% (

0.01)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.75% (

-0.02)

23.25% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.83% (

-0.03)

57.17% (

0.03)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.34% (

0.02)

32.66% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.79% (

0.02)

69.21% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Palermo 44.91%

Bari 29.02%

Draw 26.06%

Palermo	Draw	Bari
1-0 @ 11.07% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 44.91%	1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.06%	0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.02%