Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Bari had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (11.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Ascoli	Draw	Bari
37.38% ( -0.19)	29.04% ( -0.09)	33.58% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 44.64% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.95% (

0.33)

62.05% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.23% (

0.24)

81.77% (

-0.24)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.08% (

0.05)

31.92% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.63% (

0.06)

68.37% (

-0.06)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.57% (

0.36)

34.43% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.86% (

0.39)

71.14% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

Ascoli 37.37%

Bari 33.57%

Draw 29.03%

Ascoli	Draw	Bari
1-0 @ 12.54% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.84% Total : 37.37%	1-1 @ 13.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.6% Total : 29.03%	0-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.28% Total : 33.57%