Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
-0.47) 
0.13) 
