Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Catanzaro had a probability of 20.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Catanzaro win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Bari	Draw	Catanzaro
53.66% ( 1.33)	25.88% ( -0.53)	20.47% ( -0.8)

Both teams to score 44.17% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.89% (

1.02)

58.11% (

-1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.22% (

0.79)

78.78% (

-0.79)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.24% (

0.99)

21.76% (

-1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.05% (

1.49)

54.95% (

-1.49)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.46% (

-0.27)

43.54% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.25% (

-0.22)

79.75% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Bari 53.65%

Catanzaro 20.47%

Draw 25.88%

Bari	Draw	Catanzaro
1-0 @ 14.45% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.2) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.92% Total : 53.65%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.58% Total : 25.88%	0-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.47%