Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Catanzaro would win this match.

Result
Catanzaro	Draw	Sudtirol
42.08% ( 0.47)	27.27% ( 0.08)	30.65% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 48.89% (

-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.62% (

-0.46)

56.38% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.6% (

-0.37)

77.39% (

0.37)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.55% (

0.04)

26.45% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.38% (

0.05)

61.62% (

-0.05)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.47% (

-0.63)

33.53% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.83% (

-0.7)

70.17% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

Catanzaro 42.08%

Sudtirol 30.65%

Draw 27.26%

Catanzaro	Draw	Sudtirol
1-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.1% Total : 42.08%	1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.26%	0-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.42% Total : 30.65%