Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 1-0 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
0.16) 
-0.25) 
