SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 77.2%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 8.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.47%) and 1-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.88%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 0-1 (2.67%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Aberdeen |
77.2% ( -0.13) | 14.54% ( 0.03) | 8.26% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 47.73% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.12% ( 0.24) | 35.88% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.04% ( 0.26) | 57.96% ( -0.26) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.39% ( 0.03) | 7.6% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.8% ( 0.07) | 27.2% ( -0.07) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.65% ( 0.41) | 48.34% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.52% ( 0.29) | 83.48% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 2-0 @ 12.2% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.09)1-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.85% Total : 77.19% | 1-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.76% Total : 14.54% | 0-1 @ 2.67% 1-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 8.27% |
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