SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 74.92%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for East Kilbride had a probability of 10.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-3 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for a East Kilbride win it was 2-1 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| East Kilbride | Draw | Aberdeen |
10.12% ( 0.04) | 14.96% ( 0.02) | 74.92% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.66% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.65% ( 0.01) | 31.34% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.2% ( 0.02) | 52.79% ( -0.02) |
| East Kilbride Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.8% ( 0.08) | 41.2% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.26% ( 0.07) | 77.73% ( -0.08) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.96% ( -0.01) | 7.04% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.28% ( -0.02) | 25.72% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| East Kilbride | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 2-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 2.57% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 10.12% | 1-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.9% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 14.96% | 0-2 @ 10.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0)0-3 @ 9.03% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 8.01% 0-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 5.99% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 5.31% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 2.82% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.36% ( 0)0-6 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.25% ( 0)1-6 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 3.8% Total : 74.92% |
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