SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 66.25%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.63%) and 0-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 2-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Aberdeen |
15.21% ( -3.37) | 18.53% ( -1.34) | 66.25% ( 4.7) |
| Both teams to score 57.3% ( -2.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.34% ( 0) | 35.65% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.28% ( 0) | 57.72% ( -0.01) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.68% ( -3.85) | 36.32% ( 3.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.89% ( -4.11) | 73.1% ( 4.1) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.99% ( 1.18) | 10.01% ( -1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.95% ( 2.66) | 33.05% ( -2.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 2-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.74) 1-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.41)2-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.44)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.4)3-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.44)Other @ 2.26% Total : 15.21% | 1-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.48) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.57)0-0 @ 3.64% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.53% | 1-2 @ 9.75% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.91)0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.4)1-3 @ 7.48% ( 0.33)0-3 @ 7.39% ( 1.03)1-4 @ 4.31% ( 0.39)0-4 @ 4.25% ( 0.77)2-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.23)2-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.98% ( 0.27)0-5 @ 1.96% ( 0.43)2-5 @ 1% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.16% Total : 66.25% |
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