SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 65.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 15.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 1-2 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Dumbarton |
65.87% ( -0.17) | 18.95% ( 0.04) | 15.18% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 55.64% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.25% ( 0.09) | 37.74% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.01% ( 0.1) | 59.99% ( -0.1) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.31% ( -0.02) | 10.69% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.41% ( -0.04) | 34.59% ( 0.04) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.3% ( 0.23) | 37.69% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.53% ( 0.22) | 74.47% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.32% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.1% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.83% ( -0)Other @ 4.57% Total : 65.87% | 1-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.95% | 1-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.09% Total : 15.18% |
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