SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 78.19%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 8.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.92%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 1-2 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Aberdeen |
78.19% ( 0.06) | 13.24% ( -0.02) | 8.57% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.22% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.38% ( -0.03) | 27.62% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.74% ( -0.03) | 48.26% ( 0.04) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.36% ( 0.01) | 5.64% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.15% ( 0.01) | 21.85% ( -0.01) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.52% ( -0.09) | 41.48% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.02% ( -0.08) | 77.98% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 2-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0)3-1 @ 8.16% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 5.86% ( -0)5-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 3.37% 4-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.84% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.62% 5-2 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 5.03% Total : 78.19% | 1-1 @ 5.92% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.34% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 13.24% | 1-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.06% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 8.57% |
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