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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 80.31%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 7.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.45%), while for a Motherwell win it was 1-2 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Motherwell |
80.31% ( -0.28) | 12.2% ( 0.08) | 7.49% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 54.26% ( 0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.74% ( 0.49) | 26.26% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.45% ( 0.62) | 46.54% ( -0.62) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.98% ( 0.05) | 5.02% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.97% ( 0.14) | 20.03% ( -0.14) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.13% ( 0.91) | 42.87% ( -0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.82% ( 0.76) | 79.18% ( -0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Motherwell |
| 2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.2)2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.13)1-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.08)6-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.05)7-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.69% Total : 80.31% | 1-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 12.2% | 1-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.39% Total : 7.49% |
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