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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 61.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 18.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.69%) and 0-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 2-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Celtic |
18.75% ( -0.02) | 19.94% ( -0) | 61.31% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.01% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.26% ( -0.02) | 35.74% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.19% ( -0.03) | 57.81% ( 0.02) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.65% ( -0.03) | 32.35% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.14% ( -0.04) | 68.86% ( 0.03) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.71% ( -0) | 11.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.09% ( -0) | 35.91% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Celtic |
| 2-1 @ 5.07% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.12% 2-0 @ 2.33% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.91% ( -0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 18.75% | 1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.65% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 19.94% | 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 7.13% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.32% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.02% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.89% 0-4 @ 3.45% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.19% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.7% 0-5 @ 1.5% ( 0)2-5 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 3.69% Total : 61.31% |
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