SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 53.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Motherwell win it was 1-0 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Celtic |
22.91% ( 0.04) | 23.58% ( 0) | 53.51% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.99% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.27% ( 0.04) | 46.73% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.01% ( 0.04) | 68.99% ( -0.04) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.36% ( 0.06) | 34.65% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.63% ( 0.06) | 71.37% ( -0.06) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.6% ( 0) | 17.4% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.18% ( 0) | 47.82% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Celtic |
| 1-0 @ 6.39% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 22.91% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.58% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.22% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.7% 0-3 @ 5.37% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.49% 0-4 @ 2.35% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 3.74% Total : 53.51% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
