SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Hibernian |
34.03% ( 0.01) | 26.07% ( 0) | 39.89% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.67% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.25% ( -0.01) | 50.75% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.35% ( -0.01) | 72.64% ( 0.01) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.6% ( 0) | 28.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.85% | 64.14% ( 0) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.96% ( -0.01) | 25.04% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.29% ( -0.02) | 59.71% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.63% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.03% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.58% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.82% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.15% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 39.89% |
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