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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 87.26%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 3.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 4-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.13%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-2 (1.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | St Johnstone |
87.26% ( -0.46) | 8.8% ( 0.33) | 3.94% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 44.41% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.57% ( -1.13) | 25.43% ( 1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.53% ( -1.49) | 45.47% ( 1.49) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.21% ( -0.25) | 3.79% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 83.81% ( -0.82) | 16.19% ( 0.82) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.16% ( -0.4) | 53.84% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.82% ( -0.25) | 87.18% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 3-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.36)4-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.15)1-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.35)5-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.16)6-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.06)7-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.11)5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.06)7-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.79% Total : 87.25% | 1-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.54% Total : 8.8% | 1-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.4% Total : 3.94% |
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