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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 81.71%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 5.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.97%) and 0-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.89%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-0 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Celtic |
5.9% ( 0.28) | 12.39% ( 0.58) | 81.71% ( -0.86) |
| Both teams to score 42.92% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.07% ( -1.76) | 34.93% ( 1.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.09% ( -1.99) | 56.91% ( 2) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.89% ( -0.41) | 54.11% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.66% ( -0.25) | 87.34% ( 0.25) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.52% ( -0.52) | 6.48% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.8% ( -1.45) | 24.2% ( 1.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Celtic |
| 1-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.94% Total : 5.9% | 1-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.51% Total : 12.39% | 0-2 @ 13.12% ( 0.4) 0-3 @ 11.97% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.57)0-4 @ 8.19% ( -0.24)1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 7.36% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 5.03% ( -0.21)0-5 @ 4.49% ( -0.27)1-5 @ 2.76% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.05)0-6 @ 2.05% ( -0.19)2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.09)1-6 @ 1.26% ( -0.13)Other @ 4.03% Total : 81.7% |
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