Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 53.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hearts in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hearts.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Hearts |
21.96% ( 0.01) | 24.74% ( 0) | 53.3% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 49.23% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.54% ( 0) | 52.45% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.87% ( 0.01) | 74.13% ( -0.01) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.26% ( 0.02) | 38.74% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.52% ( 0.01) | 75.48% ( -0.02) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.36% ( -0) | 19.64% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.39% ( -0.01) | 51.61% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Hearts |
1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.57% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.42% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.76% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 1.48% Total : 21.96% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 7.61% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 12.38% 0-2 @ 10.07% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.56% 0-3 @ 5.47% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.19% 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.23% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.83% Total : 53.28% |
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