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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 77.89%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 7.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.94%) and 0-1 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-0 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Celtic |
7.72% ( -0.01) | 14.4% ( -0.01) | 77.89% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.47% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.69% ( 0.02) | 37.31% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.47% ( 0.02) | 59.53% ( -0.02) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.31% | 50.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.87% ( -0) | 85.13% |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.22% ( 0.01) | 7.78% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.34% ( 0.02) | 27.66% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Celtic |
| 1-0 @ 2.68% ( -0) 2-1 @ 2.33% ( -0)2-0 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.8% Total : 7.72% | 1-1 @ 6.85% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.95% ( -0)2-2 @ 2.97% Other @ 0.64% Total : 14.4% | 0-2 @ 12.85% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 10.94% 0-1 @ 10.07% 1-2 @ 8.74% ( -0)1-3 @ 7.44% ( 0)0-4 @ 6.99% ( 0)1-4 @ 4.75% ( 0)0-5 @ 3.57% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0)1-5 @ 2.42% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.61% ( 0)0-6 @ 1.52% ( 0)1-6 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 3.43% Total : 77.87% |
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