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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 87.3%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 3.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.02%) and 4-0 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.34%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (1.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | St Johnstone |
87.3% ( -0.41) | 9.14% ( 0.24) | 3.56% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 38.35% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.67% ( -0.29) | 30.33% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.41% ( -0.36) | 51.59% ( 0.35) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.42% ( -0.12) | 4.58% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.29% ( -0.37) | 18.71% ( 0.37) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 40.2% ( 0.58) | 59.8% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.45% ( 0.3) | 90.55% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 3-0 @ 13.38% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 13.02% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.18)1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.12)5-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.05)6-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)7-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.1% Total : 87.28% | 1-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.34% Total : 9.14% | 0-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.04% Total : 3.56% |
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