Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 30, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Form, Standings, Stats
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We said: Cerro Porteno 1-0 Colo-Colo
Both sides come into this match with good recent form, but the hosts have proven very difficult to beat on their home patch of late and are yet to concede at Estadio Ueno La Nueva Olla in this competition.
We are expecting a very evenly contested matchup here and feel that the first goal will likely end up being the winner.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Colo-Colo win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result |
| Cerro Porteno | Draw | Colo-Colo |
37.6% ( -0.11) | 27.8% ( -0.02) | 34.6% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 48.34% ( 0.07) |
| 42.46% ( 0.08) | 57.54% ( -0.09) |
| 21.67% ( 0.07) | 78.33% ( -0.07) |
| 70.47% ( -0.03) | 29.52% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.46% ( -0.03) | 65.54% ( 0.02) |
| 68.59% ( 0.13) | 31.4% ( -0.13) |
