Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 9, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Alianza Lima and Cerro Porteno.
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 53.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 19.58%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Lima win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result |
| Alianza Lima | Draw | Cerro Porteno |
53.89% ( -0.01) | 26.53% ( -0.01) | 19.58% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 41.39% ( 0.05) |
| 38.88% ( 0.05) | 61.12% ( -0.05) |
| 18.91% ( 0.04) | 81.08% ( -0.04) |
| 77.07% ( 0.02) | 22.92% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.31% ( 0.03) | 56.69% ( -0.03) |
| 53.69% ( 0.05) | 46.3% ( -0.05) |
