Neither team enters Friday's contest with strong form under their belts, but they will be motivated to claim all three points in Guayaquil and continue their continental journey in the Copa Sudamericana.
Cerro Portano got the better of Barcelona in April, and they may just have the edge to claim another victory and leapfrog their opponents into third spot.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
0.07) 
-0.11) 
