Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 54.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Colo-Colo win it was 1-2 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fluminense in this match.