Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 70.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 11.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.02) 
