Morecambe have shown signs in recent games that they have the quality to avoid relegation back to the fourth tier. However, we cannot ignore the recent improvement of the Addicks, who we are backing to edge a hard-fought contest by the odd goal in three.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 64.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 14.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.