Morecambe have struggled on their travels, losing 10 of their last 11 away league games, and we think that poor run of form will continue against a Portsmouth side that are unbeaten in five matches.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 74.6%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 9.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.35%) and 3-0 (10.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
1.02) 
-0.56) 
