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League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Valley
BA

Charlton
3 - 2
Burton Albion

Rak-Sakyi (7', 17'), Bonne (50')
Payne (87'), Maynard-Brewer (90+7')
Payne (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hughes (45+2'), Walker (76')
Moon (74')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Barnsley
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Charlton Athletic 1-1 Burton Albion

The two sides have improved considerably in recent weeks, with Burton looking like a much better team in the second half of the season, and they will both have aims of competing at the top end of the table next season. Charlton have been solid at home of late, having not lost since a 1-0 defeat against promotion-chasing Sheffield Wednesday in February, while Burton won 3-2 away at Port vale in their last away trip, so the most likely result is a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 55.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 22.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawBurton Albion
55.25% (-0.419 -0.42) 22.43% (0.161 0.16) 22.32% (0.255 0.25)
Both teams to score 57.05% (-0.199 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.69% (-0.427 -0.43)42.31% (0.425 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.28% (-0.43 -0.43)64.71% (0.428 0.43)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.79% (-0.285 -0.28)15.21% (0.284 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.15% (-0.538 -0.54)43.85% (0.536 0.54)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)32.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.72% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)69.27% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 55.25%
    Burton Albion 22.32%
    Draw 22.43%
Charlton AthleticDrawBurton Albion
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.084 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.19% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.54% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.91% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.61% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.035 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 55.25%
1-1 @ 10.47% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.98% (0.094 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.43%
1-2 @ 5.85% (0.051 0.05)
0-1 @ 5.56% (0.103 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 22.32%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Charlton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 6-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 1-1 Wycombe
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Charlton
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-4 Charlton
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 1-1 Accrington
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Barnsley
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-3 Burton Albion
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-5 Peterborough
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Wycombe
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 4-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One


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