SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 61.68%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 17.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Preston North End |
61.68% ( 0.01) | 21.03% ( 0.01) | 17.29% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.2% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.69% ( -0.05) | 43.3% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.3% ( -0.05) | 65.7% ( 0.05) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.48% ( -0.01) | 13.51% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.43% ( -0.02) | 40.56% ( 0.02) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.52% ( -0.05) | 38.48% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.77% ( -0.05) | 75.23% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Preston North End |
| 2-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.64% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.48% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.39% 5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 61.66% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.03% | 0-1 @ 4.97% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.75% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.37% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 17.29% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
