Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 49.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 24.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
-0.36) 
0.38) 
