Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 51.18%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
-1.22) 
0.58) 
