SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for Pau had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Clermont | Draw | Pau |
48.64% ( 0.06) | 25.08% ( -0.03) | 26.27% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.75% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.93% ( 0.11) | 50.06% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.96% ( 0.1) | 72.04% ( -0.09) |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.39% ( 0.07) | 20.6% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.85% ( 0.11) | 53.15% ( -0.11) |
| Pau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.43% ( 0.03) | 33.56% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.79% ( 0.04) | 70.21% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Clermont | Draw | Pau |
| 1-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 48.64% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 26.27% |
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