Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Paris FC had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Paris FC win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.03) 
