SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 52.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Coquimbo Unido had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Coquimbo Unido win it was 1-0 (7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Coquimbo Unido | Draw | Bragantino |
23.02% ( -0.11) | 24.42% ( 0.04) | 52.56% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.48% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.87% ( -0.25) | 50.12% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.91% ( -0.22) | 72.09% ( 0.22) |
| Coquimbo Unido Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.58% ( -0.24) | 36.42% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.79% ( -0.24) | 73.21% ( 0.24) |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.96% ( -0.07) | 19.03% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.39% ( -0.11) | 50.61% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coquimbo Unido | Draw | Bragantino |
| 1-0 @ 7% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 23.02% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.42% | 0-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.33% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.19% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 52.55% |
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