Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 54.25%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 21.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahia in this match.
0.42) 
-0.5) 
