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Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
May 21, 2024 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Nabi Abi Chedid

Bragantino
3 - 0
Sousa

Capixaba (25'), Neves (59'), Mosquera (71')
Candido (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tubias Pontes (75'), Duarte da Silva (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sportivo 2-3 Bragantino
Friday, May 17 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Bragantino 3-0 Sousa (Bragantino advances 3-0 on aggregate)

Expect to see Sousa hang back and try to frustrate Braga throughout this encounter, but we do not believe that will be enough to see them upset the home side, who seem to be a lot more decisive in the attacking third at Estadio Nabi Abi Chedid. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 85.11%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Sousa had a probability of 3.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.13%) and 1-0 (11.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.06%), while for a Sousa win it was 0-1 (1.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Bragantino in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bragantino.

Result
BragantinoDrawSousa
85.11% (1.482 1.48) 10.95% (-0.794 -0.79) 3.94% (-0.687 -0.69)
Both teams to score 33.88% (-2.493 -2.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.89% (0.131 0.13)38.11% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.62% (0.137 0.14)60.38% (-0.137 -0.14)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.57% (0.337 0.34)6.43% (-0.336 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.93% (0.916 0.92)24.06% (-0.916 -0.92)
Sousa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
36.2% (-2.804 -2.8)63.8% (2.806 2.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.53% (-1.3231 -1.32)92.47% (1.324 1.32)
Score Analysis
    Bragantino 85.1%
    Sousa 3.94%
    Draw 10.95%
BragantinoDrawSousa
2-0 @ 15.44% (0.48 0.48)
3-0 @ 14.13% (0.7 0.7)
1-0 @ 11.25% (0.14 0.14)
4-0 @ 9.7% (0.647 0.65)
2-1 @ 6.94% (-0.458 -0.46)
3-1 @ 6.35% (-0.293 -0.29)
5-0 @ 5.32% (0.448 0.45)
4-1 @ 4.36% (-0.116 -0.12)
6-0 @ 2.44% (0.246 0.25)
5-1 @ 2.39% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.216 -0.22)
6-1 @ 1.1% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.127 -0.13)
7-0 @ 0.96% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 85.1%
1-1 @ 5.06% (-0.436 -0.44)
0-0 @ 4.1% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 1.56% (-0.269 -0.27)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 10.95%
0-1 @ 1.84% (-0.197 -0.2)
1-2 @ 1.14% (-0.221 -0.22)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 3.94%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Bragantino


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