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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 17, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
B

Sportivo
2 - 3
Bragantino

Bordon (3'), Leguizamon (37')
Benitez (51'), Rios (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Helinho (15', 80'), Lincoln (74')
Capixaba (19'), Lincoln (50'), Santos (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Sportivo Luqueno and Bragantino.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Sportivo 0-0 Coquimbo
Wednesday, May 8 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Bragantino
Sunday, May 12 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 19.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.34%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Sportivo Luqueno win it was 1-0 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
Sportivo LuquenoDrawBragantino
19.27% (4.022 4.02) 25.05% (4.33 4.33) 55.68% (-8.346 -8.35)
Both teams to score 44.69% (-5.017 -5.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.5% (-10.839 -10.84)56.51% (10.845 10.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.5% (-9.51 -9.51)77.5% (9.516 9.52)
Sportivo Luqueno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.06% (-1.443 -1.44)43.94% (1.448 1.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.93% (-1.21 -1.21)80.08% (1.216 1.22)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.72% (-6.721 -6.72)20.28% (6.727 6.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.36% (-11.994 -11.99)52.64% (11.999 12)
Score Analysis
    Sportivo Luqueno 19.27%
    Bragantino 55.67%
    Draw 25.04%
Sportivo LuquenoDrawBragantino
1-0 @ 7.33% (2.399 2.4)
2-1 @ 4.81% (0.592 0.59)
2-0 @ 3.01% (0.904 0.9)
3-1 @ 1.32% (0.116 0.12)
3-2 @ 1.05% (-0.15 -0.15)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 19.27%
1-1 @ 11.69% (1.839 1.84)
0-0 @ 8.91% (3.152 3.15)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.377 -0.38)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 14.21% (2.7 2.7)
0-2 @ 11.34% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 9.33% (-0.516 -0.52)
0-3 @ 6.03% (-1.629 -1.63)
1-3 @ 4.96% (-1.596 -1.6)
0-4 @ 2.41% (-1.422 -1.42)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.767 -0.77)
1-4 @ 1.98% (-1.297 -1.3)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 55.67%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Sportivo 0-0 Coquimbo
Wednesday, May 8 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Bragantino 2-1 Sportivo
Thursday, April 25 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Coquimbo 1-0 Sportivo
Friday, April 12 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Sportivo 0-2 Racing
Friday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Guarani 0-1 Sportivo
Thursday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Defensa 1-1 Sportivo
Wednesday, November 4 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Bragantino
Sunday, May 12 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 2-1 Racing
Friday, May 10 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Bragantino 1-1 Flamengo
Saturday, May 4 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Bragantino
Sunday, April 28 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 2-1 Sportivo
Thursday, April 25 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Bragantino 1-0 Corinthians
Saturday, April 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro


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